Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kufstein · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kufstein 2-2 Lauterach
Original prediction
Kufstein
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.4% | 53.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.6% | 22.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 25.0% | 24.3% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Kufstein
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Kufstein has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KufsteinDLDDW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LauterachLLDLL
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KufsteinLauterach
40.0Attack53.3
60.0Defence6.7
40.0Form6.7
48.5Power26.2
2.27xG1.28