Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Imst · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kufstein 1-2 Imst
Original prediction
Imst
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.94 | 18.2% | 19.9% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 20.8% | 23.5% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 60.9% | 56.6% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Imst
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Imst has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KufsteinLLLDD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ImstWLDLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KufsteinImst
40.7Attack55.6
44.4Defence77.8
25.9Form70.4
39.3Power68.2
0.79xG1.88