GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Cup · 8/15/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kudrivka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kudrivka are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Yarud Mariupol' are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kudrivka hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Cup, while Kudrivka holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kudrivka

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Kudrivka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KudrivkaWLWW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 3/4
Yarud Mariupol'DLWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
KudrivkaYarud Mariupol'
66.7Attack75.0
77.8Defence41.7
77.8Form41.7
74.7Power52.8
1.90xG1.22
View match centre →