GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 8/26/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kudrivka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kudrivka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Trostianets are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Druha Liga, while Kudrivka holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kudrivka

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Kudrivka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KudrivkaLDWLW

GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
TrostianetsLLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
KudrivkaTrostianets
51.3Attack33.3
51.3Defence83.3
47.4Form50.0
49.3Power56.2
1.48xG1.27
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