GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/8/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kudrivka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kudrivka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kudrivka hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Druha Liga, while Kudrivka holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kudrivka

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Kudrivka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KudrivkaDLDWL

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv KyivLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KudrivkaLokomotiv Kyiv
51.3Attack44.9
51.3Defence44.9
47.4Form38.5
49.3Power43.7
1.86xG1.18
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