GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kudrivka · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kudrivka 2-3 Kolos Kovalivka

Original prediction

Kudrivka

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.7124.9%35.6%10.8 pts
Draw3.0130.7%29.3%-1.4 pts
Away2.0744.5%35.1%-9.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

10.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Kudrivka

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Kudrivka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KudrivkaLLLWD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kolos KovalivkaLLDDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KudrivkaKolos Kovalivka
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form33.3
53.0Power45.3
1.35xG1.09
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