Kütahyasporvs
24 Erzincanspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kütahyaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kütahyaspor 0-1 24 Erzincanspor
Original prediction
Kütahyaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.3% | 44.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.7% | 25.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.0% | 30.7% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Kütahyaspor
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Kütahyaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80