Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KSZO 1929 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KSZO 1929 2-2 Naprzód
Original prediction
KSZO 1929
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 70.3% | 66.3% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.02 | 18.0% | 18.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 7.69 | 11.8% | 14.9% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
KSZO 1929
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
KSZO 1929 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KSZO 1929WWDWD
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NaprzódDLLWL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KSZO 1929Naprzód
61.1Attack50.0
77.8Defence27.8
77.8Form38.9
73.1Power42.3
2.58xG0.94