KSZO 1929vs
Hetman Zamosc
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KSZO 1929 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KSZO 1929 1-2 Hetman Zamosc
Original prediction
KSZO 1929
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 75.0% | 62.0% | -13.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.42 | 16.7% | 21.1% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 10.79 | 8.4% | 17.0% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
KSZO 1929
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
62.0%
KSZO 1929 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60