KSZO 1929vs
Chełmianka Chełm
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KSZO 1929 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KSZO 1929 0-0 Chełmianka Chełm
Original prediction
KSZO 1929
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 36.8% | 38.2% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.4% | 27.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 34.8% | 34.2% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
KSZO 1929
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
KSZO 1929 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40