GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KSZO 1929 · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

KSZO 1929 5-0 Busko-Zdroj

Original prediction

KSZO 1929

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3268.8%67.5%-1.4 pts
Draw4.6019.7%19.4%-0.3 pts
Away7.9211.5%13.2%1.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–014%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.3–011%

Predicted outcome

KSZO 1929

Probability

67.5%

Model confidence

67.5%

KSZO 1929 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KSZO 1929DLDWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Busko-ZdrojWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
KSZO 1929Busko-Zdroj
48.5Attack46.7
72.7Defence30.0
60.6Form36.7
62.1Power40.4
2.35xG0.68
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