KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvs
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KS Wieczysta Krakow II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KS Wieczysta Krakow II 0-2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Original prediction
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 36.9% | 40.1% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.2% | 26.2% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 36.9% | 33.7% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
KS Wieczysta Krakow II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60