KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvs
Moravia Morawica
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KS Wieczysta Krakow II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KS Wieczysta Krakow II 1-0 Moravia Morawica
Original prediction
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.5% | 50.9% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.3% | 24.9% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.47 | 20.2% | 24.3% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
KS Wieczysta Krakow II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60