ŁKS Łódź IIvs
Olimpia Elbląg
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ŁKS Łódź II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ŁKS Łódź II 1-1 Olimpia Elbląg
Original prediction
ŁKS Łódź II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.9% | 40.4% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.6% | 27.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.5% | 32.5% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
ŁKS Łódź II
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
ŁKS Łódź II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00