Krylya Sovetov IIvs
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 9/27/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khimik Dzerzhinsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Krylya Sovetov II 0-2 Khimik Dzerzhinsk, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Krylya Sovetov II 0-1 Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Original prediction
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.89 | 18.8% | 22.7% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20.4% | 25.9% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.8% | 51.4% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Projected Score
Krylya Sovetov II 0–2 Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Khimik Dzerzhinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80