Krylya Sovetov IIvs
Dinamo Barnaul
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krylya Sovetov II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krylya Sovetov II 1-2 Dinamo Barnaul
Original prediction
Krylya Sovetov II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.3% | 56.8% | 11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.7% | 22.8% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.0% | 20.5% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Krylya Sovetov II
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
Krylya Sovetov II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60