Krylya Sovetov IIvs
Akron II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akron II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krylya Sovetov II 2-3 Akron II
Original prediction
Akron II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.3% | 32.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.6% | 28.2% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 37.1% | 39.0% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Akron II
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Akron II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60