Krylia Sovetovvs
Spartak Moscow
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krylia Sovetov 1-1 Spartak Moscow
Original prediction
Spartak Moscow
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.58 | 20.7% | 20.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 23.7% | 24.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 55.5% | 55.5% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Moscow
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80