Krylia Sovetovvs
Rodina Moskva
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 9/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krylia Sovetov · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krylia Sovetov 2-1 Rodina Moskva
Original prediction
Krylia Sovetov
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 48.9% | 44.8% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 26.3% | 27.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 24.8% | 27.7% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Krylia Sovetov
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Krylia Sovetov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00