GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 8/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Rostov · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Krylia Sovetov are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Rostov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Rostov hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the Premier League, while FC Rostov holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Rostov

Probability

34.7%

Model confidence

34.7%

FC Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Krylia SovetovDLWDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC RostovDWWLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Krylia SovetovFC Rostov
11.1Attack55.6
66.7Defence55.6
22.2Form44.4
36.4Power53.1
1.16xG1.24
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