Krylia Sovetovvs
FC Krasnodar
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Krasnodar · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krylia Sovetov 2-2 FC Krasnodar
Original prediction
FC Krasnodar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.73 | 20.0% | 28.0% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 24.1% | 27.1% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 55.9% | 44.9% | -11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Krasnodar
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
FC Krasnodar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20