Krylia Sovetovvs
Baltika
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 10/14/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krylia Sovetov · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Krylia Sovetov 0-0 Baltika, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Krylia Sovetov 0-2 Baltika
Original prediction
Krylia Sovetov
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.07 | 30.5% | 37.6% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.9% | 30.2% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 39.6% | 32.2% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Projected Score
Krylia Sovetov 0–0 Baltika
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Krylia Sovetov
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Krylia Sovetov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Krylia SovetovDWDWD
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BaltikaDLDLD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Krylia SovetovBaltika
22.2Attack11.1
88.9Defence77.8
55.6Form22.2
59.1Power40.2
1.12xG0.84