GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 7/26/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Krylia Sovetov · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Krylia Sovetov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Baltika are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Krylia Sovetov hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Cup, while Krylia Sovetov holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Krylia Sovetov

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Krylia Sovetov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Krylia SovetovWDWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BaltikaLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Krylia SovetovBaltika
66.7Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
1.68xG0.98
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