Kruger Unitedvs
Stellenbosch
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stellenbosch · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kruger United 0-1 Stellenbosch, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kruger United 0-1 Stellenbosch
Original prediction
Stellenbosch
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.6% | 27.2% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 32.7% | 29.7% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.7% | 43.1% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Projected Score
Kruger United 0–1 Stellenbosch
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Stellenbosch
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Stellenbosch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20