Kruger Unitedvs
Orlando Pirates
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/1/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando Pirates · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kruger United 0-1 Orlando Pirates, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kruger United 0-4 Orlando Pirates
Original prediction
Orlando Pirates
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.38 | 9.8% | 17.7% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.56 | 20.1% | 24.7% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 70.1% | 57.6% | -12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.5 pts
Projected Score
Kruger United 0–1 Orlando Pirates
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Orlando Pirates
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Orlando Pirates has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/1.75
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20