Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vratimov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Krnov are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Vratimov are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vratimov hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Vratimov holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vratimov
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Vratimov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20