Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Krnov are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Šumperk are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00