Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krnov · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Krnov are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Jeseník are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Krnov hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Krnov holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Krnov
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Krnov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80