GGOALVIO

Czech-Republic · Cup · 9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zbrojovka Brno · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Králův Dvůr 0-3 Zbrojovka Brno

Original prediction

Zbrojovka Brno

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home10.828.4%31.1%22.7 pts
Draw6.4714.0%22.6%8.7 pts
Away1.1777.7%46.3%-31.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-31.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–18%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.2–28%

Predicted outcome

Zbrojovka Brno

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Zbrojovka Brno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Králův DvůrWLWWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Zbrojovka BrnoWLWWW

GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Králův DvůrZbrojovka Brno
100.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
81.3Power97.0
2.11xG1.97
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