Králův Dvůrvs
Motorlet Praha
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Králův Dvůr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Králův Dvůr 4-1 Motorlet Praha
Original prediction
Králův Dvůr
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.6% | 40.0% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.8% | 26.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.6% | 33.6% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Králův Dvůr
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Králův Dvůr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40