Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krka · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krško 0-1 Krka
Original prediction
Krka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 29.7% | 27.7% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.9% | 25.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.4% | 46.9% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Krka
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Krka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KrškoLDLDW
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KrkaWLLLD
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KrškoKrka
26.7Attack35.6
31.1Defence43.3
28.9Form32.2
31.7Power38.8
0.97xG1.37