Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilirija · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Krško are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 6.50 conceded, while Ilirija are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilirija hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (31.7 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the 2. SNL, while Ilirija holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilirija
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Ilirija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.50/6.50
GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40