Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dekani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krško 0-0 Dekani
Original prediction
Dekani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.86 | 23.3% | 19.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.6% | 22.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 51.1% | 57.6% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Dekani
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Dekani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KrškoLDWWL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DekaniLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
KrškoDekani
26.7Attack44.4
31.1Defence48.9
28.9Form36.7
31.7Power44.6
0.86xG1.74