Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bilje · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krško 3-1 Bilje
Original prediction
Bilje
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.1% | 29.3% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.2% | 27.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 36.8% | 42.8% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Bilje
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Bilje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KrškoLLLDL
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BiljeLWWLL
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KrškoBilje
26.7Attack50.0
31.1Defence16.7
28.9Form50.0
31.7Power42.7
0.93xG1.94