Kırklarelisporvs
Ankara Demirspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ankara Demirspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kırklarelispor 2-4 Ankara Demirspor
Original prediction
Ankara Demirspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 30.9% | 27.1% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.0% | 25.2% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.1% | 47.7% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Ankara Demirspor
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Ankara Demirspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80