Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 1 August 202613:00Updated today
Krka

Krka

Home
W
vs
13:00
Hrvatski Dragovoljac

Hrvatski Dragovoljac

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Hrvatski Dragovoljac33%
Krka33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Krka
33%
Draw
33%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Krka
94
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
9
Defence
Krka
27
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
91
Momentum
Krka
100
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
33
Danger (xG)
Krka
2.70
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.31 xG for Krka and 1.40 xG for Hrvatski Dragovoljac — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.09), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.70 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Krka's Defensive Stability (27) and Hrvatski Dragovoljac's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Krka)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Hrvatski Dragovoljac)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Krka)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Hrvatski Dragovoljac)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
KrkaKrka
W
Hrvatski DragovoljacHrvatski Dragovoljac
D

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Krka33%
Draw33%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac33%

Hrvatski Dragovoljac leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Krka vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Krka host Hrvatski Dragovoljac in Friendlies Clubs. Krka have recorded WWLWLL in recent matches while Hrvatski Dragovoljac arrive with a run of LWDLWD.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Krka

Krka

W
vs Jesenice
15 May 2026
32
Hrvatski Dragovoljac

Hrvatski Dragovoljac

D
vs Križevci
15 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Krka vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Krka vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Krka vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Krka vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more