Krkavs
Dren Vrhnika
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 2. SNL · 10/27/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dren Vrhnika · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krka 3-0 Dren Vrhnika
Original prediction
Dren Vrhnika
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.9% | 31.5% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 27.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.1% | 41.1% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Dren Vrhnika
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Dren Vrhnika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80