Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dekani · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krka 1-2 Dekani
Original prediction
Dekani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.5% | 32.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.0% | 25.6% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.4% | 41.6% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Dekani
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Dekani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KrkaWWLLL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DekaniDDDLL
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
KrkaDekani
35.6Attack44.4
43.3Defence48.9
32.2Form36.7
38.8Power44.6
1.16xG1.41