Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bistrica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Krka are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Bistrica are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bistrica hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (38.8 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the 2. SNL, while Bistrica holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bistrica
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Bistrica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.33
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20