GGOALVIO

Estonia · Cup · 8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kuressaare · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Kristiine JK are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Kuressaare are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kuressaare hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (72.0 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Cup, while Kuressaare holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kuressaare

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

7.4%

Kuressaare has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kristiine JKWLWLL

GF 14 · GA 19 · avg 2.80/3.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
KuressaareWLWDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kristiine JKKuressaare
100.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
72.0Power88.7
2.34xG2.38
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