Kristiansund BKvs
Tromso
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 9/6/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromso · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kristiansund BK 2-0 Tromso
Original prediction
Tromso
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.32 | 21.6% | 14.2% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.4% | 20.3% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 54.0% | 65.5% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Tromso
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kristiansund BKDLWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TromsoDLDLW
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kristiansund BKTromso
31.5Attack63.0
46.3Defence63.0
29.6Form64.8
38.5Power62.3
0.70xG2.01