EliteserienEliteserien
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:37
Kristiansund BK

Kristiansund BK

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W
00
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Sarpsborg 08 FF

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Away
W
Kristiansund Stadion
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Sarpsborg 08 FF35%
Kristiansund BK35%
Draw30%
Win probability
Kristiansund BK
35%
Draw
30%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Kristiansund BK
73
Sarpsborg 08 FF
34
Defence
Kristiansund BK
66
Sarpsborg 08 FF
91
Momentum
Kristiansund BK
100
Sarpsborg 08 FF
100
Danger (xG)
Kristiansund BK
1.80
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Kristiansund BK)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Sarpsborg 08 FF)
1.28
avg per match
xG against (Kristiansund BK)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Sarpsborg 08 FF)
0.63
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
WLL
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
WD

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Kristiansund BK35%
Draw30%
Sarpsborg 08 FF35%

Sarpsborg 08 FF leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Kristiansund BK head into this in Eliteserien fixture at Kristiansund Stadion in mixed form (W), while Sarpsborg 08 FF arrive in mixed form (W). Kristiansund BK have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Sarpsborg 08 FF over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Kristiansund BK (66/100) and Sarpsborg 08 FF (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Kristiansund BK have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Sarpsborg 08 FF have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Kristiansund BK have generated 0.70 xG per game recently while conceding 1.20 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Sarpsborg 08 FF have generated 1.28 xG per game recently while conceding 0.63 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Kristiansund BK and Sarpsborg 08 FF in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 36% confidence. Win probabilities: Kristiansund BK 3478%, Draw 3002%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 3520%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Kristiansund BK

Kristiansund BK

W
@ Brann
3 Jul 2026
21
L
vs Viking
24 May 2026
12
xG 0.7
L
@ Molde
16 May 2026
01
Sarpsborg 08 FF

Sarpsborg 08 FF

W
vs Viking
12 Jul 2026
10
xG 1.3
D
@ Valerenga
16 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more