GGOALVIO

Norway · 1. Division · 4/10/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fredrikstad · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kristiansund BK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fredrikstad are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Fredrikstad hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the 1. Division, while Fredrikstad holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fredrikstad

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Fredrikstad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kristiansund BKLDWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FredrikstadWWWLL

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Kristiansund BKFredrikstad
63.5Attack55.6
57.3Defence74.4
56.3Form71.1
58.8Power68.5
1.15xG1.36
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