Kristiansund BKvs
Aalesund
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aalesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kristiansund BK 1-4 Aalesund
Original prediction
Aalesund
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 39.1% | 34.9% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.3% | 21.6% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 35.6% | 43.5% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Aalesund
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Aalesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00