GGOALVIO

Sweden · Damallsvenskan · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kristianstad W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kristianstad W 2-2 Piteå W

Original prediction

Kristianstad W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7850.6%54.4%3.8 pts
Draw3.5425.5%22.7%-2.8 pts
Away3.7723.9%22.9%-1.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

Kristianstad W

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Kristianstad W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kristianstad WWLWDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Piteå WLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kristianstad WPiteå W
55.6Attack38.9
50.0Defence51.9
51.9Form40.7
52.4Power45.2
1.77xG1.05
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