GGOALVIO

Sweden · Damallsvenskan · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Malmö FF W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kristianstad W 1-2 Malmö FF W

Original prediction

Malmö FF W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.2221.4%22.0%0.6 pts
Draw3.6924.5%22.3%-2.2 pts
Away1.6754.1%55.7%1.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–29%

Predicted outcome

Malmö FF W

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Malmö FF W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kristianstad WWWLWD

GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Malmö FF WWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kristianstad WMalmö FF W
60.6Attack65.2
51.5Defence75.8
53.0Form63.6
54.3Power66.5
1.06xG1.81
View match centre →