Kristianstadvs
Trollhättan
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trollhättan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kristianstad 3-1 Trollhättan
Original prediction
Trollhättan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.9% | 29.1% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.8% | 23.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.4% | 47.4% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Trollhättan
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Trollhättan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60