Kristianstadvs
Jonkopings Sodra
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jonkopings Sodra · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (8%), 0-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kristianstad 0-0 Jonkopings Sodra
Original prediction
Jonkopings Sodra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.2% | 35.3% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.2% | 28.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 41.7% | 36.7% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–08%
- 3.0–08%
Predicted outcome
Jonkopings Sodra
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Jonkopings Sodra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20