Kristianstadvs
Atvidabergs FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kristianstad · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kristianstad 5-2 Atvidabergs FF
Original prediction
Kristianstad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 26.0% | 39.3% | 13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.1% | 27.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 48.9% | 33.4% | -15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Kristianstad
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Kristianstad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80