Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Križevci · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Križevci 0-2 Solin
Original prediction
Križevci
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.9% | 36.4% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.4% | 28.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.7% | 34.7% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Križevci
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Križevci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KriževciWDWLL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SolinWLDWL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KriževciSolin
33.3Attack60.0
100.0Defence63.3
100.0Form60.0
80.3Power60.1
1.21xG1.45